In comparison, there were 35 such districts corresponding with the 2016 presidential race and 83 mismatched districts as a result of the 2008 elections, according to Daily Kos Elections. Right now, there are just 16 House members in mismatched districts. This decrease in ticket-splitting is more than an electoral dynamic or the “nationalization of our politics,” as the political team at NBC News detailed recently. Susan Collins’ victory in Maine even more impressive. Of the 69 Senate races in the last two presidential cycles, in just one state did voters pick a president from one party and a senator from the other.
It’s a similar trend in the other chamber. In 2020, with a few exceptions, where Trump won, Republican candidates won and where Trump lost, GOP candidates lost as well. In essence, 2020 was a correction of sorts.
GRIDLOCK TICKET FULL
Two years later, when the full Trump coalition came out to vote with the president on the ballot, Republicans recaptured some of those seats. 2020, a correctionīasically, Democrats pushed into Trump territory in 2018 and captured some House seats when some of the president’s coalition stayed home. That is remarkably similar to the 222-213 Democratic edge in House races, now that the contest in New York’s 22nd District is finally over and we have results in all 435 districts. While some Republicans tried to cast doubt on Joe Biden’s presidential victory because the GOP gained a net of 12 House seats while President Donald Trump lost the popular vote and the Electoral College, that combination is easily explained by district-level results.īiden finished ahead of Trump in 224 districts, while Trump finished ahead of Biden in 211. And thanks to the quadrennial effort by Daily Kos Elections to calculate presidential results by congressional district, we can dive deeper into what happened in 2020. The bottom line is that there are fewer and fewer mismatched districts and states places that backed one party’s candidate for president and another party’s choice for House and/or Senate.
For some reason, people act surprised that a divided country is reflected in a divided Congress.
It’s the voters, however, and the lack of ticket-splitting, that are key to the lack of compromise. ANALYSIS - It’s easy to blame politicians for gridlock on Capitol Hill.
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